No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Genoa | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 0.92 | 1.7 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.33 | 1.66 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 13.3 | 11.8 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 883 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Genoa
- injured Elias Havel return: doubtful
- injured Lorenzo Venturino return: Back in training
Lecce
- injured Ivan Ilic return: Late November 2026
- injured Joël Monteiro return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Lassana Coulibaly return: Mid November 2026
- injured Medon Berisha return: doubtful
- injured Santiago Pierotti return: Mid November 2026
- injured Willem Geubbels return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Genoa 8 · 6 6 draws · 2 Lecce
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Lecce | 1:0 | Genoa |
| 2025-08-23 | Genoa | 0:0 | Lecce |
| 2025-03-14 | Genoa | 2:1 | Lecce |
| 2025-01-05 | Lecce | 0:0 | Genoa |
| 2024-01-28 | Genoa | 2:1 | Lecce |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available