No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Hull | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.04 | 1.62 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.36 | 1.15 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 11 | 11 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 16.4 | 9.6 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 4 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 103 | 244 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Hull
- injured Charlie Hughes return: Late November 2026
- injured Darko Gyabi return: Late November 2026
- injured Eliot Matazo return: Early February 2027
- injured Ilyas Ansah return: Early November 2026
- injured Jack Butland return: doubtful
- injured Lucas Gourna-Douath return: doubtful
- injured Matt Targett return: Mid December 2026
Arsenal
- injured Bukayo Saka return: Mid December 2026
- injured William Saliba return: Late November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Hull 1 · 1 1 draws · 8 Arsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-02-11 | Arsenal | 2:0 | Hull |
| 2016-09-17 | Hull | 1:4 | Arsenal |
| 2015-05-04 | Hull | 1:3 | Arsenal |
| 2014-10-18 | Arsenal | 2:2 | Hull |
| 2014-04-20 | Hull | 0:3 | Arsenal |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available