No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Le Mans | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.89 | 1.22 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.15 | 1.51 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 4 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 6 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 13.0 | 27.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 269 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Le Mans
- injured Erwan Colas return: Late September 2026
- injured Lucas Buadés return: About 1-2 weeks
Lorient
- injured Bandiougou Fadiga return: Late September 2026
- injured Mohamed Bamba return: About 1-2 weeks
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Le Mans 1 · 0 0 draws · 3 Lorient
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-04 | Lorient | 4 - 2 | Le Mans |
| 2019-08-23 | Le Mans | 1 - 2 | Lorient |
| 2019-08-13 | Lorient | 1 - 2 | Le Mans |
| 2012-01-11 | Le Mans | 0 - 1 | Lorient |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available