No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Leeds | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.0 | 13.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 262 | 272 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Leeds
- injured Joe Rodon return: Back in training
- injured Mateo Joseph return: Early January 2027
Chelsea
- injured Aaron Anselmino return: Mid November 2026
- injured Emiliano Martínez return: Early November 2026
- injured Jamie Gittens return: Back in training
- injured João Pedro return: Early November 2026
- injured Jorrel Hato return: Mid November 2026
- injured Maxence Lacroix return: Early January 2027
- injured Reece James return: Mid January 2027
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Leeds 10 · 9 9 draws · 11 Chelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea | 2:2 | Leeds |
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds | 3:1 | Chelsea |
| 2023-03-04 | Chelsea | 1:0 | Leeds |
| 2022-08-21 | Leeds | 3:0 | Chelsea |
| 2022-05-11 | Leeds | 0:3 | Chelsea |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available