Premier League Round 5 2026-09-20 · 13:00 UTC finished

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Leeds Crystal Palace
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.61.3
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.352.04
Sample size (matches with xG data) 44
Rest days since last match 63
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 9.0 16.0
Matches in the last 7 days 12
Matches in the next 7 days 00
Travel to this match (km) 0283

What could go against this prediction

no head-to-head data available

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Leeds

  • injured Joe Rodon return: Late September 2026
  • injured Mateo Joseph return: Early January 2027

Crystal Palace

  • injured Chadi Riad return: Late June 2027
  • injured Dean Henderson return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Edward Nketiah return: doubtful
  • injured Ismaïla Sarr return: doubtful
  • injured Jean-Philippe Mateta return: Mid October 2026
  • suspended Axel Disasi return: Mid September 2026
How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: unavailable Pressing baseline: available Season context: available