No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Leeds | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.28 | 1.23 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 3 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.0 | 14.8 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 79 | 102 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Leeds
- injured Joe Rodon return: Back in training
- injured Mateo Joseph return: Early January 2027
Everton
- injured Jarrad Branthwaite return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Leeds 8 · 13 13 draws · 9 Everton
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | Everton | 1:1 | Leeds |
| 2025-08-18 | Leeds | 1:0 | Everton |
| 2023-02-18 | Everton | 1:0 | Leeds |
| 2022-08-30 | Leeds | 1:1 | Everton |
| 2022-02-12 | Everton | 3:0 | Leeds |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available