No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Leeds | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 0.97 | 2.15 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.28 | 1.08 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 3 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 53 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Leeds
- injured Joe Rodon return: Back in training
- injured Mateo Joseph return: Early January 2027
Manchester City
- injured Antoine Semenyo return: Mid December 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Leeds 6 · 5 5 draws · 9 Manchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Leeds | 0:1 | Man City |
| 2025-11-29 | Man City | 3:2 | Leeds |
| 2023-05-06 | Man City | 2:1 | Leeds |
| 2022-12-28 | Leeds | 1:3 | Man City |
| 2022-04-30 | Leeds | 0:4 | Man City |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available