No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Leeds | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.47 | 1.0 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.51 | 1.82 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 9 | 9 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 340 | 133 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Leeds 3 · 5 5 draws · 4 Newcastle United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Newcastle United | 4 - 3 | Leeds United |
| 2025-08-30 | Leeds United | 0 - 0 | Newcastle United |
| 2023-05-13 | Leeds United | 2 - 2 | Newcastle United |
| 2022-12-31 | Newcastle United | 0 - 0 | Leeds United |
| 2022-01-22 | Leeds United | 0 - 1 | Newcastle United |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available