No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Lens | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.22 | 2.15 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.38 | 1.08 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.0 | 8.9 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 418 | 483 |
What could go against this prediction
no head-to-head data available
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Lens
- injured Abdallah Sima return: Late November 2026
- injured Ismaëlo Ganiou return: Late November 2026
- injured Jhoanner Chávez return: Early November 2026
- injured Maik Nawrocki return: Mid May 2027
- injured Odsonne Édouard return: Early January 2027
Manchester City
- injured Antoine Semenyo return: Mid December 2026
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
unavailable
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available