No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Lyon | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.45 | 1.85 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.12 | 2.06 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 4 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 3 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.0 | 10.3 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 566 | 571 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Lyon 12 · 7 7 draws · 13 Rennes
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Lyon | 4 - 2 | Rennes |
| 2025-09-14 | Rennes | 3 - 1 | Lyon |
| 2025-04-26 | Lyon | 4 - 1 | Rennes |
| 2024-08-18 | Rennes | 3 - 0 | Lyon |
| 2024-01-26 | Lyon | 2 - 3 | Rennes |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available