No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Manchester City | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.15 | 1.94 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 10 | 11 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 8.9 | 12.5 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 4 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 53 | 93 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Manchester City
- injured Antoine Semenyo return: Mid December 2026
Nottingham Forest
- injured Igor Jesus return: Early November 2026
- injured Nicolás Dominguez return: About a week
- injured Nicolò Savona return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Manchester City 5 · 4 4 draws · 3 Nottingham Forest
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Man City | 2:2 | Nott'm Forest |
| 2025-12-27 | Nott'm Forest | 1:2 | Man City |
| 2025-03-08 | Nott'm Forest | 1:0 | Man City |
| 2024-12-04 | Man City | 3:0 | Nott'm Forest |
| 2024-04-28 | Nott'm Forest | 0:2 | Man City |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available