No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Manchester United | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.05 | 1.59 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.7 | 9.6 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 326 | 262 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Manchester United
- injured Amad Diallo return: doubtful
- injured Benjamin Sesko return: Early January 2027
- injured Luke Shaw return: Early November 2026
- injured Manuel Ugarte return: Early April 2027
- injured Marcus Rashford return: doubtful
- injured Patrick Dorgu return: Early November 2026
Newcastle United
- injured Ewen Jaouen return: Early December 2026
- injured Lewis Miley return: doubtful
- injured Matias Fernandez-Pardo return: doubtful
- injured Valentino Livramento return: Late November 2026
- injured William Osula return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Manchester United 34 · 16 16 draws · 12 Newcastle United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Newcastle | 2:1 | Man United |
| 2025-12-26 | Man United | 1:0 | Newcastle |
| 2025-04-13 | Newcastle | 4:1 | Man United |
| 2024-12-30 | Man United | 0:2 | Newcastle |
| 2024-05-15 | Man United | 3:2 | Newcastle |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available