No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Monza | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.4 | 1.75 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.77 | 1.03 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 16.3 | 11.6 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 145 | 479 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Monza
- injured Jan Ziólkowski return: doubtful
- injured Matteo Pessina return: Back in training
- injured Michael Folorunsho return: Mid November 2026
- injured Yvan Kouadio Maye return: Back in training
Lazio
- injured Adam Marušić return: doubtful
- injured Albert Gudmundsson return: Mid November 2026
- injured Mattia Zaccagni return: doubtful
- injured Nicolò Rovella return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Monza 0 · 2 2 draws · 4 Lazio
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | Lazio | 5:1 | Monza |
| 2024-11-10 | Monza | 0:1 | Lazio |
| 2024-05-04 | Monza | 2:2 | Lazio |
| 2023-09-23 | Lazio | 1:1 | Monza |
| 2023-04-02 | Monza | 0:2 | Lazio |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available