No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Napoli | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.64 | 1.19 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.41 | 1.75 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 6 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 13.5 | 13.6 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 4 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 590 | 406 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Napoli
- injured Alessandro Buongiorno return: Mid November 2026
- injured Alisson Santos return: Mid November 2026
- injured Benoît Badiashile return: Early December 2026
- injured Costantino Favasuli return: Mid November 2026
- injured David Neres return: Mid November 2026
- injured Leonardo Spinazzola return: Mid November 2026
- injured Rasmus Højlund return: doubtful
- injured Stanislav Lobotka return: Late December 2026
- injured Vanja Milinkovic-Savic return: About 1-2 weeks
Fiorentina
- injured Arthur Atta return: doubtful
- injured Fabiano Parisi return: Early December 2026
- injured Luca Ranieri return: doubtful
- injured Marin Pongracic return: Mid November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Napoli 22 · 12 12 draws · 14 Fiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Napoli | 2:1 | Fiorentina |
| 2025-09-13 | Fiorentina | 1:3 | Napoli |
| 2025-03-09 | Napoli | 2:1 | Fiorentina |
| 2025-01-04 | Fiorentina | 0:3 | Napoli |
| 2024-05-17 | Fiorentina | 2:2 | Napoli |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available