No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Newcastle United | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.15 | 1.41 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.05 | 2.04 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 2 | 2 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.6 | 10.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 389 | 472 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Newcastle United 5 · 8 8 draws · 5 Bournemouth
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Newcastle United | 1 - 2 | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2026-01-10 | Newcastle United | 3 - 3 | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2025-09-21 | AFC Bournemouth | 0 - 0 | Newcastle United |
| 2025-01-18 | Newcastle United | 1 - 4 | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2024-08-25 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 - 1 | Newcastle United |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available