No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Newcastle United | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.07 | 1.71 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.59 | 1.13 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.6 | 7.2 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 393 | 469 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Newcastle United
- injured Ewen Jaouen return: Early December 2026
- injured Lewis Miley return: doubtful
- injured Matias Fernandez-Pardo return: doubtful
- injured Valentino Livramento return: Late November 2026
- injured William Osula return: doubtful
Brighton
- injured Evan Ferguson return: Early November 2026
- injured Femi Azeez return: Early November 2026
- injured Ferdi Kadioglu return: Back in training
- injured Kaoru Mitoma return: Late November 2026
- injured Pascal Struijk return: Early November 2026
- injured Stefanos Tzimas return: Early November 2026
- injured Zadok Yohanna return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Newcastle United 3 · 8 8 draws · 7 Brighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Newcastle | 3:1 | Brighton |
| 2025-10-18 | Brighton | 2:1 | Newcastle |
| 2025-05-04 | Brighton | 1:1 | Newcastle |
| 2024-10-19 | Newcastle | 0:1 | Brighton |
| 2024-05-11 | Newcastle | 1:1 | Brighton |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available