No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Newcastle United | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.86 | 1.49 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 4 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.6 | 16.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 133 | 400 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Newcastle United
- injured Anthony Elanga return: Mid October 2026
- injured Daniel Burn return: Late September 2026
- injured Ewen Jaouen return: doubtful
- injured Jacob Ramsey return: doubtful
- injured Joelinton return: Mid October 2026
- injured Nico González return: doubtful
- injured William Osula return: Mid October 2026
Hull
- injured Charlie Hughes return: Late October 2026
- injured Darko Gyabi return: Late October 2026
- injured Eliot Matazo return: Mid January 2027
- injured Hidemasa Morita return: Mid October 2026
- injured Ilyas Ansah return: Mid October 2026
- injured Jack Butland return: Late October 2026
- injured Nobel Mendy return: Mid October 2026
- injured Paddy McNair return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Newcastle United 3 · 3 3 draws · 1 Hull
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-27 | Hull City | 0 - 2 | Newcastle United |
| 2018-07-24 | Hull City | 2 - 2 | Newcastle United |
| 2016-11-29 | Hull City | 1 - 1 | Newcastle United |
| 2015-01-31 | Hull City | 0 - 3 | Newcastle United |
| 2014-09-20 | Newcastle United | 2 - 2 | Hull City |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available