No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.49 | 1.23 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.49 | 1.96 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.2 | 9.3 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 309 | 316 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Osasuna
- injured Aimar Oroz return: Late September 2026
- injured Jorge Herrando return: Late September 2026
- injured Moi Gómez return: Late September 2026
- injured Valentin Rosier return: Back in training
Rayo Vallecano
- injured Augusto Batalla return: Early January 2027
- injured Isi Palazón return: Back in training
- injured Jozhua Vertrouwd return: Late September 2026
- injured Luiz Felipe return: Late September 2026
- injured Randy Nteka return: Late September 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Osasuna 9 · 4 4 draws · 7 Rayo Vallecano
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 3 | Osasuna |
| 2025-09-14 | Osasuna | 2 - 0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2025-01-19 | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2024-09-16 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 - 1 | Osasuna |
| 2024-04-20 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | Osasuna |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available