No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Paderborn | Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.23 | 1.96 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.7 | 12.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 329 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Paderborn
- injured Marcel Hoffmeier return: a few weeks
- injured Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant return: Mid November 2026
- injured Oliver Batista Meier return: Mid November 2026
- injured Sebastian Klaas return: Mid November 2026
- injured Timur Gayret return: Early January 2027
Mainz 05
- injured Dominik Kohr return: Early January 2027
- injured Otto Ruoppi return: Early November 2026
- injured Silas Katompa Mvumpa return: Early January 2027
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Paderborn 0 · 2 2 draws · 3 Mainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Mainz | 0:0 | Paderborn |
| 2020-02-29 | Mainz | 2:0 | Paderborn |
| 2019-10-05 | Paderborn | 1:2 | Mainz |
| 2015-01-31 | Mainz | 5:0 | Paderborn |
| 2014-08-24 | Paderborn | 2:2 | Mainz |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available