No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Racing Santander | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.4 | 0.94 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 3.21 | 0.91 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 3 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.1 | 13.9 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 3 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 427 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Racing Santander
- injured Álvaro Mantilla return: doubtful
- injured Andrés Martin return: About 1-2 weeks
Celta Vigo
- injured Álvaro Núñez return: Late November 2026
- injured Borja Iglesias return: Late November 2026
- injured Carl Starfelt return: Mid November 2026
- injured Hugo González return: Mid November 2026
- injured Jones El-Abdellaoui return: Mid January 2027
- injured Miguel Román return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Racing Santander 11 · 9 9 draws · 4 Celta Vigo
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-02-25 | Celta | 2:2 | Santander |
| 2006-10-01 | Santander | 1:1 | Celta |
| 2006-02-05 | Santander | 0:1 | Celta |
| 2005-09-18 | Celta | 0:1 | Santander |
| 2004-03-21 | Santander | 4:4 | Celta |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available