No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.58 | 1.89 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.85 | 1.6 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.1 | 17.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 4 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 543 | 306 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
RB Leipzig
- injured Assan Ouédraogo return: Late December 2026
- injured Marc Guiu return: a few weeks
- injured Maxime Estève return: About 1-2 weeks
Werder Bremen
- injured Felix Agu return: Mid November 2026
- injured Jens Stage return: Mid November 2026
- injured Keke Topp return: Early January 2027
- injured Moussa N'Diaye return: Mid November 2026
- injured Paul Erevbenagie return: Mid November 2026
- injured Salim Musah return: Early January 2027
- injured Skelly Alvero return: Mid November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): RB Leipzig 12 · 5 5 draws · 4 Werder Bremen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Werder Bremen | 3:1 | RB Leipzig |
| 2026-04-04 | Werder Bremen | 1:2 | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-11-23 | RB Leipzig | 2:0 | Werder Bremen |
| 2025-05-10 | Werder Bremen | 0:0 | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-01-12 | RB Leipzig | 4:2 | Werder Bremen |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available