No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Real Betis | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.29 | 2.84 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.75 | 0.8 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 6 | 5 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 15.5 | 13.8 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 544 | 397 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Real Betis 5 · 8 8 draws · 15 Real Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Real Betis | 1 - 1 | Real Madrid |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Madrid | 5 - 1 | Real Betis |
| 2025-03-01 | Real Betis | 2 - 1 | Real Madrid |
| 2024-09-01 | Real Madrid | 2 - 0 | Real Betis |
| 2024-05-25 | Real Madrid | 0 - 0 | Real Betis |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available