UEFA Champions League Round 1 2026-09-08 · 19:00 UTC finished
Real Madrid (home)
VS Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid
Inter (away)

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Real Madrid Inter
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.992.86
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 0.831.38
Sample size (matches with xG data) 43
Rest days since last match 43
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 13.8 11.0
Matches in the last 7 days 32
Matches in the next 7 days 32
Travel to this match (km) 3971181

What could go against this prediction

no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Real Madrid 4 · 0 0 draws · 0 Inter

DateHome ScoreAway
2021-12-07Real Madrid 2:0Inter
2021-09-15Inter 0:1Real Madrid
2020-11-25Inter 0:2Real Madrid
2020-11-03Real Madrid 3:2Inter
How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: unavailable Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available