No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Roma | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.44 | 1.65 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.42 | 1.83 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.4 | 13.3 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 389 | 476 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Roma
- injured Lorenzo Pellegrini return: Late November 2026
- injured Manu Koné return: Mid November 2026
- injured Mile Svilar return: Mid November 2026
- injured Paulo Dybala return: Back in training
AC Milan
- injured Alexis Saelemaekers return: Mid January 2027
- injured Fikayo Tomori return: Mid November 2026
- injured Matteo Gabbia return: Early January 2027
- injured Pietro Terracciano return: doubtful
- injured Ruben Loftus-Cheek return: Late November 2026
- injured Samuel Chukwueze return: Mid November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Roma 21 · 22 22 draws · 25 AC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Roma | 1:1 | Milan |
| 2025-11-02 | Milan | 1:0 | Roma |
| 2025-05-18 | Roma | 3:1 | Milan |
| 2024-12-29 | Milan | 1:1 | Roma |
| 2024-04-18 | Roma | 2:1 | Milan |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available