No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Roma | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.79 | 2.91 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 0.68 | 1.27 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 4 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 5 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 519 | 476 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Roma
No reported absentees.
Inter
- injured Djed Spence return: Back in training
- injured Hakan Çalhanoglu return: Mid October 2026
- injured John Stones return: Late September 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Roma 11 · 11 11 draws · 17 Inter
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Inter | 5 - 2 | Roma |
| 2025-10-18 | Roma | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 2025-04-27 | Inter | 0 - 1 | Roma |
| 2024-10-20 | Roma | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 2024-02-10 | Roma | 2 - 4 | Inter |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available