No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.03 | 1.67 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.6 | 1.44 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 8 | 8 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 101 | 98 |
What could go against this prediction
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
SC Heerenveen
- injured Dirk Proper return: day to day
- injured Levi Smans return: About a week
Ajax
- injured Anton Gaaei return: Late November 2026
- injured Caio Henrique return: day to day
- injured Kasper Dolberg return: out for season
- injured Oliver Edvardsen return: Mid November 2026
- injured Simon Adingra return: Mid November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): SC Heerenveen 10 · 13 13 draws · 44 Ajax
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Ajax | 2:2 | Heerenveen |
| 2026-05-17 | Heerenveen | 0:0 | Ajax |
| 2025-11-01 | Ajax | 1:1 | Heerenveen |
| 2025-01-19 | Heerenveen | 0:2 | Ajax |
| 2024-08-11 | Ajax | 1:0 | Heerenveen |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available