No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.14 | 1.77 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 3.2 | 1.05 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 56 | 326 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Stuttgart
- injured Angelo Stiller return: doubtful
- injured Dan-Axel Zagadou return: Late September 2026
- injured Dennis Seimen return: Early October 2026
- injured Justin Diehl return: Early October 2026
- injured Lorenz Assignon return: Late September 2026
- injured Luca Jaquez return: Late September 2026
- injured Nikolas Nartey return: a few weeks
- injured Tiago Tomás return: Early October 2026
Borussia Dortmund
- injured Emre Can return: Mid November 2026
- injured Filippo Mané return: Late September 2026
- injured Giannis Konstantelias return: Late May 2027
- injured Justin Lerma return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Konstantinos Karetsas return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Stuttgart 7 · 7 7 draws · 16 Borussia Dortmund
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-11-22 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2025-02-08 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2024-09-22 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2024-04-06 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 1 | VfB Stuttgart |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available