No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Tottenham | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 0.86 | 0.84 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.66 | 1.92 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 4 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 7.3 | 17.0 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 160 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Tottenham
- injured Dejan Kulusevski return: doubtful
- injured Mykhaylo Mudryk return: Early November 2026
- injured Pedro Porro return: doubtful
- injured Wilson Odobert return: Early November 2026
- injured Xavi Simons return: Early February 2027
Aston Villa
- injured Amadou Onana return: Mid April 2027
- injured Brian Madjo return: Mid October 2026
- injured Ian Maatsen return: Late October 2026
- injured João Gomes return: doubtful
- injured Leon Goretzka return: Early October 2026
- injured Pau Torres return: Mid October 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Tottenham 20 · 1 1 draws · 9 Aston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Aston Villa | 1 - 2 | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2026-01-10 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 - 2 | Aston Villa |
| 2025-10-19 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 - 2 | Aston Villa |
| 2025-05-16 | Aston Villa | 2 - 0 | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-02-09 | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | Tottenham Hotspur |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available