No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Villarreal | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.38 | 1.4 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 0.99 | 3.21 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.5 | 12.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 4 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 498 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Villarreal
- injured Gerard Moreno return: doubtful
- injured Ilias Akhomach return: Mid November 2026
- injured Nathan Saliba return: Mid November 2026
Racing Santander
- injured Álvaro Mantilla return: doubtful
- injured Andrés Martin return: About 1-2 weeks
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Villarreal 13 · 7 7 draws · 5 Racing Santander
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Santander | 2:2 | Villarreal |
| 2012-04-15 | Villarreal | 1:1 | Santander |
| 2011-12-03 | Santander | 1:0 | Villarreal |
| 2011-02-27 | Santander | 2:2 | Villarreal |
| 2010-10-03 | Villarreal | 2:0 | Santander |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available