No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Werder Bremen | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.89 | 1.43 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.6 | 1.25 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 17.1 | 13.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 199 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Werder Bremen
- injured Felix Agu return: Mid November 2026
- injured Jens Stage return: Mid November 2026
- injured Keke Topp return: Early January 2027
- injured Moussa N'Diaye return: Mid November 2026
- injured Paul Erevbenagie return: Mid November 2026
- injured Salim Musah return: Early January 2027
- injured Skelly Alvero return: Mid November 2026
Freiburg
- injured Florent Muslija return: Late December 2026
- injured Philipp Treu return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Werder Bremen 24 · 10 10 draws · 17 Freiburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Freiburg | 4:1 | Werder Bremen |
| 2026-02-07 | Freiburg | 1:0 | Werder Bremen |
| 2025-09-20 | Werder Bremen | 0:3 | Freiburg |
| 2025-02-21 | Freiburg | 5:0 | Werder Bremen |
| 2024-10-05 | Werder Bremen | 0:1 | Freiburg |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available