Eredivisie Round 5 2026-09-05 · 19:00 UTC finished
Willem II (home)
VS Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Excelsior (away)

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Willem II Excelsior
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 67
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 33
Travel to this match (km) 056

What could go against this prediction

no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Willem II 6 · 7 7 draws · 5 Excelsior

DateHome ScoreAway
2019-04-21Excelsior 1:1Willem II
2018-09-15Willem II 2:2Excelsior
2018-04-06Excelsior 2:1Willem II
2017-08-13Willem II 1:2Excelsior
2017-02-25Excelsior 0:2Willem II
How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: unavailable Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available