No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Willem II | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.14 | 1.79 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.62 | 1.3 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 6 | 3 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 4 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 62 | 30 |
What could go against this prediction
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Willem II
- injured Amine Lachkar return: day to day
- injured Justin Hoogma return: Late October 2027
PSV Eindhoven
- injured Adamo Nagalo return: out for season
- injured Alassane Pléa return: Early January 2027
- injured Jerdy Schouten return: day to day
- injured Paul Wanner return: day to day
- injured Sam Lammers return: day to day
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Willem II 9 · 8 8 draws · 39 PSV Eindhoven
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | PSV Eindhoven | 1:1 | Willem II |
| 2024-09-28 | Willem II | 0:2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2022-05-01 | PSV Eindhoven | 4:2 | Willem II |
| 2021-09-25 | Willem II | 2:1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2021-05-09 | Willem II | 0:2 | PSV Eindhoven |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available