What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Everton have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Newcastle United have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Newcastle United -0.52, Everton +0.20.
- Points per game over the last five: Newcastle United 1.20, Everton 1.00, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Newcastle United xG per match 1.32, 13.2 shots, 1.8 big chances created; Everton xG per match 1.65, 10.2 shots, 3.5 big chances created. Newcastle United have the better conversion (1.20 vs 0.60).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Newcastle United 1.84, Everton 1.45; shots on target faced 9.8 vs 10.8, big chances faced 2.5 vs 2.2.
- Running: Newcastle United 115.9 km, Everton 112.5 km; sprints 128 vs 103.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
1.20
vs 0.60
· Edge 50.0%
Shots per match
13.2
vs 10.2
· Edge 22.6%
Sprints per match
128
vs 103
· Edge 19.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
3.5
vs 1.8
· Edge 50.0%
Goals conceded per match
1.20
vs 2.00
· Edge 40.0%
xGA per match
1.45
vs 1.84
· Edge 21.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Newcastle United
|
Metric |
Everton
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 0.60 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 1.01 | Expected points per game | 1.51 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.32 | xG per match | 1.65 |
| 13.2 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.2 |
| 8.5 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 7.2 |
| 1.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 3.5 |
| 53.5% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 48.0% |
| 6.4 | Deep completions per match | 6.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.84 | xGA per match | 1.45 |
| 13.8 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 15.2 |
| 9.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.8 |
| 2.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.2 |
| 7.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 9.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 115.9 km | Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 4 matches with data | 112.5 km |
| 128 | Sprints per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 103 |
| 23.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Newcastle United 2
- Ewen Jaouen Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Valentino Livramento Injury Expected back early November 2026
Everton 3
- Jack Grealish Injury Doubtful
- Jarrad Branthwaite Injury Doubtful
- Vitaliy Mykolenko Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.