RB Leipzig vs Augsburg: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-29 2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-07

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

RB Leipzig lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): RB Leipzig +0.24, Augsburg -0.86.
  • Points per game over the last five: RB Leipzig 1.80, Augsburg 0.60.
  • Attack: RB Leipzig xG per match 2.37, 15.2 shots, 3.4 big chances created; Augsburg xG per match 1.86, 19.0 shots, 2.5 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match RB Leipzig 2.14, Augsburg 2.72; shots on target faced 10.6 vs 14.0, big chances faced 3.8 vs 3.5.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Points per game 1.80 vs 0.60 · Edge 66.7%
Goals per match 3.20 vs 2.00 · Edge 37.5%
Goals conceded per match 1.60 vs 2.40 · Edge 33.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Shots per match 19.0 vs 15.2 · Edge 20.0%
Shots on target per match 11.5 vs 9.4 · Edge 18.3%
Big chances faced per match 3.5 vs 3.8 · Edge 7.9%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

RB Leipzig Metric Augsburg
Results
1.80 Points per game 0.60
3.20 Goals per match 2.00
1.60 Goals conceded per match 2.40
1.73 Expected points per game 0.95
Attack
2.37 xG per match 1.86
15.2 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 19.0
9.4 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 11.5
3.4 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 2.5
50.6% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 48.2%
8.4 Deep completions per match 7.8
Defence
2.14 xGA per match 2.72
16.0 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 21.2
10.6 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 14.0
3.8 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 3.5
9.2 Deep completions allowed per match 13.4
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
23.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 18.2

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

RB Leipzig 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Assan Ouédraogo Injury Expected back late December 2026
  • Christopher Nkunku Injury Expected back in about a week
  • Marc Guiu Injury Expected return: A few weeks

Augsburg 7

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Alexis Claude-Maurice Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Calvin Brackelmann Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Faik Sakar Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Klaus Sima Suso Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Noahkai Banks Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Steve Mounié Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Tim Breithaupt Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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