Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-29 2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-07

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Werder Bremen lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Stuttgart -0.18, Werder Bremen +0.35.
  • Points per game over the last five: Stuttgart 0.60, Werder Bremen 1.80.
  • Attack: Stuttgart xG per match 2.11, 18.2 shots, 4.5 big chances created; Werder Bremen xG per match 1.99, 15.0 shots, 3.0 big chances created. Werder Bremen have the better conversion (2.20 vs 1.00).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Stuttgart 2.29, Werder Bremen 1.64; shots on target faced 10.0 vs 10.2, big chances faced 4.0 vs 3.0.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances created per match 4.5 vs 3.0 · Edge 33.3%
Goals conceded per match 1.40 vs 1.80 · Edge 22.2%
Shots per match 18.2 vs 15.0 · Edge 17.8%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Points per game 1.80 vs 0.60 · Edge 66.7%
Goals per match 2.20 vs 1.00 · Edge 54.5%
xGA per match 1.64 vs 2.29 · Edge 28.4%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Stuttgart Metric Werder Bremen
Results
0.60 Points per game 1.80
1.00 Goals per match 2.20
1.40 Goals conceded per match 1.80
1.24 Expected points per game 1.62
Attack
2.11 xG per match 1.99
18.2 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 15.0
10.2 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 10.8
4.5 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 3.0
60.2% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 47.0%
7.8 Deep completions per match 10.0
Defence
2.29 xGA per match 1.64
18.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 16.2
10.0 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 10.2
4.0 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 3.0
8.0 Deep completions allowed per match 10.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
19.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 14.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Stuttgart 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Angelo Stiller Injury Doubtful
  • Dan-Axel Zagadou Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Josha Vagnoman Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Justin Diehl Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Tiago Tomás Injury Expected back late October 2026

Werder Bremen 8

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Felix Agu Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Jens Stage Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Justin Njinmah Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Keke Topp Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Moussa N'Diaye Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Olivier Deman Injury Doubtful
  • Salim Musah Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Skelly Alvero Injury Expected back late October 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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