What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Atalanta lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Atalanta +0.22, Parma -1.10.
- Points per game over the last five: Atalanta 0.80, Parma 0.60.
- Attack: Atalanta xG per match 2.23, 17.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Parma xG per match 1.01, 12.4 shots, 1.4 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Atalanta 2.01, Parma 2.11; shots on target faced 10.4 vs 10.2, big chances faced 3.0 vs 3.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
2.00
vs 0.80
· Edge 60.0%
xG per match
2.23
vs 1.01
· Edge 54.7%
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 1.4
· Edge 53.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
2.20
vs 2.40
· Edge 8.3%
Shots on target faced per match
10.2
vs 10.4
· Edge 1.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Atalanta
|
Metric |
Parma
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.80 | Points per game | 0.60 |
| 2.00 | Goals per match | 0.80 |
| 2.40 | Goals conceded per match | 2.20 |
| 1.40 | Expected points per game | 0.77 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.23 | xG per match | 1.01 |
| 17.8 | Shots per match | 12.4 |
| 11.0 | Shots on target per match | 6.4 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match | 1.4 |
| 47.0% | Possession | 40.4% |
| 7.6 | Deep completions per match | 5.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.01 | xGA per match | 2.11 |
| 14.6 | Shots faced per match | 18.0 |
| 10.4 | Shots on target faced per match | 10.2 |
| 3.0 | Big chances faced per match | 3.0 |
| 8.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 9.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 21.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Atalanta 9
- Franck Kessié Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Giacomo Raspadori Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Giorgio Scalvini Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Isak Hien Injury Back in training
- Kamaldeen Sulemana Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Odilon Kossounou Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Raoul Bellanova Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Sead Kolasinac Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Thomas Pompei Injury Expected back early November 2026
Parma 3
- Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Nesta Elphege Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Pontus Almqvist Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.