What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Bologna lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Parma -1.10, Bologna -0.37.
- Points per game over the last five: Parma 0.60, Bologna 1.40.
- Attack: Parma xG per match 1.01, 12.4 shots, 1.4 big chances created; Bologna xG per match 1.28, 9.0 shots, 2.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Parma 2.11, Bologna 1.65; shots on target faced 10.2 vs 8.0, big chances faced 3.0 vs 3.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots per match
12.4
vs 9.0
· Edge 27.4%
Shots on target per match
6.4
vs 5.5
· Edge 14.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
1.40
vs 0.60
· Edge 57.1%
Goals conceded per match
1.20
vs 2.20
· Edge 45.5%
Big chances created per match
2.2
vs 1.4
· Edge 37.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Parma
|
Metric |
Bologna
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.60 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 0.80 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 0.77 | Expected points per game | 1.25 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.01 | xG per match | 1.28 |
| 12.4 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 9.0 |
| 6.4 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 5.5 |
| 1.4 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.2 |
| 40.4% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 40.8% |
| 5.4 | Deep completions per match | 2.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.11 | xGA per match | 1.65 |
| 18.0 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 13.5 |
| 10.2 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 8.0 |
| 3.0 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 9.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 17.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Parma 1
- Nesta Elphege Injury Expected back mid November 2026
Bologna 5
- Emil Holm Injury Expected back late February 2027
- Jay Enem Injury Doubtful
- Lorenzo De Silvestri Injury Doubtful
- Riccardo Orsolini Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Roberto Piccoli Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.