Inter vs Como: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-30 2026-11-08 ~ 2026-11-08

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Inter lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Inter +1.89, Como +0.87.
  • Points per game over the last five: Inter 2.60, Como 2.00.
  • Attack: Inter xG per match 3.10, 24.0 shots, 5.8 big chances created; Como xG per match 2.47, 21.0 shots, 4.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Inter 1.21, Como 1.60; shots on target faced 5.5 vs 6.2, big chances faced 1.5 vs 2.6.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Goals per match 3.00 vs 1.40 · Edge 53.3%
Big chances faced per match 1.5 vs 2.6 · Edge 42.3%
Shots faced per match 8.2 vs 13.8 · Edge 40.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals conceded per match 0.80 vs 1.40 · Edge 42.9%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Inter Metric Como
Results
2.60 Points per game 2.00
3.00 Goals per match 1.40
1.40 Goals conceded per match 0.80
2.49 Expected points per game 1.92
Attack
3.10 xG per match 2.47
24.0 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 21.0
15.0 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.0
5.8 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 4.2
63.2% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 60.8%
14.8 Deep completions per match 10.2
Defence
1.21 xGA per match 1.60
8.2 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.8
5.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 6.2
1.5 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.6
4.8 Deep completions allowed per match 5.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
22.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 25.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Inter 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Benjamin Pavard Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Curtis Jones Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • John Stones Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Lautaro Martínez Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Luis Henrique Injury Expected back early November 2026

Como 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Assane Diao Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Jayden Addai Injury Doubtful
  • Jesús Rodríguez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Mattia Liberali Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Moise Kean Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Trevoh Chalobah Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

Was this useful?

Feedback is linked to this article only. Contact details are not required.