What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Tottenham have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Chelsea have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Chelsea -0.77, Tottenham +0.22.
- Points per game over the last five: Chelsea 1.40, Tottenham 0.60, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Chelsea xG per match 1.10, 13.0 shots, 1.6 big chances created; Tottenham xG per match 1.42, 13.5 shots, 2.2 big chances created. Chelsea have the better conversion (2.00 vs 0.60).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Chelsea 1.87, Tottenham 1.20; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 6.2, big chances faced 3.4 vs 1.2.
- Running: Chelsea 112.3 km, Tottenham 111.5 km; sprints 113 vs 109.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
2.00
vs 0.60
· Edge 70.0%
Points per game
1.40
vs 0.60
· Edge 57.1%
Shots on target per match
8.8
vs 8.0
· Edge 9.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 3.4
· Edge 63.2%
xGA per match
1.20
vs 1.87
· Edge 35.5%
Shots on target faced per match
6.2
vs 9.0
· Edge 30.6%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Chelsea
|
Metric |
Tottenham
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 0.60 |
| 2.00 | Goals per match | 0.60 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 0.94 | Expected points per game | 1.53 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.10 | xG per match | 1.42 |
| 13.0 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 13.5 |
| 8.8 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 8.0 |
| 1.6 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.2 |
| 55.2% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 57.2% |
| 7.4 | Deep completions per match | 7.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.87 | xGA per match | 1.20 |
| 11.6 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 11.8 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 6.2 |
| 3.4 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.2 |
| 7.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 112.3 km | Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 4 matches with data | 111.5 km |
| 113 | Sprints per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 109 |
| 19.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 28.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Chelsea 6
- Emiliano Martínez Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Emmanuel Emegha Injury Doubtful
- Jamie Gittens Injury Expected back in about a week
- Malo Gusto Injury Doubtful
- Pep Chavarría Injury Doubtful
- Reece James Injury Expected back mid January 2027
Tottenham 7
- Destiny Udogie Injury Doubtful
- Lucas Bergvall Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Mykhaylo Mudryk Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Pedro Porro Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Sávio Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Wilson Odobert Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Xavi Simons Injury Expected back early February 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.