Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Newcastle United have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Crystal Palace have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Crystal Palace -0.94, Newcastle United -0.55.
- Points per game over the last five: Crystal Palace 1.40, Newcastle United 0.80, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Crystal Palace xG per match 1.46, 10.4 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Newcastle United xG per match 1.22, 13.0 shots, 1.5 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Crystal Palace 2.40, Newcastle United 1.77; shots on target faced 11.4 vs 10.5, big chances faced 3.4 vs 2.5.
- Running: Crystal Palace 114.0 km, Newcastle United 116.0 km; sprints 102 vs 122.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 1.5
· Edge 50.0%
Points per game
1.40
vs 0.80
· Edge 42.9%
Goals per match
1.60
vs 1.20
· Edge 25.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
xGA per match
1.77
vs 2.40
· Edge 26.5%
Big chances faced per match
2.5
vs 3.4
· Edge 26.5%
Shots on target per match
8.2
vs 6.2
· Edge 24.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Crystal Palace
|
Metric |
Newcastle United
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| 1.60 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per match | 2.40 |
| 0.77 | Expected points per game | 0.99 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.46 | xG per match | 1.22 |
| 10.4 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 13.0 |
| 6.2 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 8.2 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.5 |
| 43.4% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 56.2% |
| 5.4 | Deep completions per match | 7.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.40 | xGA per match | 1.77 |
| 18.2 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 13.8 |
| 11.4 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 10.5 |
| 3.4 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 10.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 114.0 km | Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 4 matches with data | 116.0 km |
| 102 | Sprints per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 122 |
| 18.0 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 23.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Crystal Palace 4
- Ben Chilwell Injury Doubtful
- Chadi Riad Injury Expected back late June 2027
- Dean Henderson Injury Doubtful
- Takehiro Tomiyasu Injury Doubtful
Newcastle United 4
- Anthony Elanga Injury Expected back mid October 2026
- Ewen Jaouen Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Jacob Ramsey Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Valentino Livramento Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.