Manchester United vs Bournemouth: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Bournemouth lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Manchester United -0.29, Bournemouth +1.37.
- Points per game over the last five: Manchester United 0.80, Bournemouth 1.00.
- Attack: Manchester United xG per match 1.18, 17.0 shots, 1.4 big chances created; Bournemouth xG per match 2.24, 16.8 shots, 3.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Manchester United 1.47, Bournemouth 0.86; shots on target faced 8.0 vs 5.0, big chances faced 2.4 vs 1.2.
- Running: Manchester United 111.1 km, Bournemouth 115.2 km; sprints 98 vs 110.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
1.20
vs 2.00
· Edge 40.0%
Shots on target per match
10.4
vs 9.6
· Edge 7.7%
Shots per match
17.0
vs 16.8
· Edge 1.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
3.2
vs 1.4
· Edge 56.2%
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 2.4
· Edge 50.0%
xG per match
2.24
vs 1.18
· Edge 47.4%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Manchester United
|
Metric |
Bournemouth
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.80 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 1.40 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per match | 2.00 |
| 1.12 | Expected points per game | 2.05 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.18 | xG per match | 2.24 |
| 17.0 | Shots per match | 16.8 |
| 10.4 | Shots on target per match | 9.6 |
| 1.4 | Big chances created per match | 3.2 |
| 51.4% | Possession | 52.0% |
| 9.2 | Deep completions per match | 9.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.47 | xGA per match | 0.86 |
| 12.0 | Shots faced per match | 8.4 |
| 8.0 | Shots on target faced per match | 5.0 |
| 2.4 | Big chances faced per match | 1.2 |
| 5.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 111.1 km | Distance covered per match (km) | 115.2 km |
| 98 | Sprints per match | 110 |
| 23.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 24.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Manchester United 8
- Ayden Heaven Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Benjamin Sesko Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Kobbie Mainoo Injury Expected back in about a week
- Lisandro Martínez Injury Expected back in about a week
- Luke Shaw Injury Expected return: A few days
- Manuel Ugarte Injury Expected back early April 2027
- Marcus Rashford Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Patrick Dorgu Injury Expected back late October 2026
Bournemouth 4
- Alex Scott Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Julián Araujo Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Junior Kroupi Injury Back in training
- Veljko Milosavljević Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.