What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Bournemouth have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Leeds have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Bournemouth +1.37, Leeds +0.13.
- Points per game over the last five: Bournemouth 1.00, Leeds 1.20, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Bournemouth xG per match 2.24, 16.8 shots, 3.2 big chances created; Leeds xG per match 1.64, 12.0 shots, 2.6 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Bournemouth 0.86, Leeds 1.51; shots on target faced 5.0 vs 8.6, big chances faced 1.2 vs 2.8.
- Running: Bournemouth 115.2 km, Leeds 117.2 km; sprints 110 vs 125.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 2.8
· Edge 57.1%
xGA per match
0.86
vs 1.51
· Edge 42.7%
Shots on target faced per match
5.0
vs 8.6
· Edge 41.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
1.00
vs 2.00
· Edge 50.0%
Points per game
1.20
vs 1.00
· Edge 16.7%
Sprints per match
125
vs 110
· Edge 12.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Bournemouth
|
Metric |
Leeds
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.00 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 1.40 | Goals per match | 1.40 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 2.05 | Expected points per game | 1.49 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.24 | xG per match | 1.64 |
| 16.8 | Shots per match | 12.0 |
| 9.6 | Shots on target per match | 7.6 |
| 3.2 | Big chances created per match | 2.6 |
| 52.0% | Possession | 47.4% |
| 9.0 | Deep completions per match | 4.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.86 | xGA per match | 1.51 |
| 8.4 | Shots faced per match | 13.2 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target faced per match | 8.6 |
| 1.2 | Big chances faced per match | 2.8 |
| 5.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 115.2 km | Distance covered per match (km) | 117.2 km |
| 110 | Sprints per match | 125 |
| 24.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 24.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Bournemouth 4
- Alex Scott Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Julián Araujo Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Junior Kroupi Injury Back in training
- Veljko Milosavljević Injury Doubtful
Leeds 3
- Daniel James Injury Doubtful
- Joe Rodon Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Mateo Joseph Injury Expected back early January 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.