What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Arsenal lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Liverpool +0.25, Arsenal +0.54.
- Points per game over the last five: Liverpool 2.00, Arsenal 2.40.
- Attack: Liverpool xG per match 1.23, 14.0 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Arsenal xG per match 1.85, 12.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Liverpool 0.98, Arsenal 1.31; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 7.5, big chances faced 1.4 vs 1.2.
- Running: Liverpool 111.6 km, Arsenal 117.8 km; sprints 128 vs 110.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
xGA per match
0.98
vs 1.31
· Edge 25.1%
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 1.00
· Edge 20.0%
Sprints per match
128
vs 110
· Edge 14.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 1.2
· Edge 60.0%
xG per match
1.85
vs 1.23
· Edge 33.8%
Goals per match
1.40
vs 1.00
· Edge 28.6%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 2.40 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 1.40 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 1.54 | Expected points per game | 1.69 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.23 | xG per match | 1.85 |
| 14.0 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 12.2 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 8.8 |
| 1.2 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 52.0% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 60.8% |
| 7.2 | Deep completions per match | 10.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.98 | xGA per match | 1.31 |
| 11.6 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 12.5 |
| 6.8 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 7.5 |
| 1.4 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.2 |
| 8.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 111.6 km | Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 4 matches with data | 117.8 km |
| 128 | Sprints per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 110 |
| 24.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Liverpool 6
- Conor Bradley Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Dominik Szoboszlai Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Giovanni Leoni Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Hugo Ekitiké Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Jeremie Frimpong Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Víctor Muñoz Injury Doubtful
Arsenal 3
- Christos Tzolis Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Piero Hincapié Injury Expected return: A few days
- William Saliba Injury Back in training
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.