What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Roma lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Manchester United -0.60, Roma +0.11.
- Points per game over the last five: Manchester United 0.60, Roma 1.80.
- Attack: Manchester United xG per match 1.17, 17.6 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Roma xG per match 1.83, 15.5 shots, 2.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Manchester United 1.77, Roma 1.73; shots on target faced 6.4 vs 6.8, big chances faced 3.4 vs 2.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots faced per match
10.4
vs 12.8
· Edge 18.4%
Shots on target per match
10.6
vs 9.0
· Edge 15.1%
Shots per match
17.6
vs 15.5
· Edge 11.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
1.80
vs 0.60
· Edge 66.7%
Goals per match
1.80
vs 0.60
· Edge 66.7%
Big chances created per match
2.0
vs 1.2
· Edge 40.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Manchester United
|
Metric |
Roma
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.60 | Points per game | 1.80 |
| 0.60 | Goals per match | 1.80 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 0.95 | Expected points per game | 1.52 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.17 | xG per match | 1.83 |
| 17.6 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 15.5 |
| 10.6 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 9.0 |
| 1.2 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 53.0% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 52.2% |
| 9.0 | Deep completions per match | 9.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.77 | xGA per match | 1.73 |
| 10.4 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 12.8 |
| 6.4 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 6.8 |
| 3.4 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.8 |
| 4.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 111.9 km | Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 103 | Sprints per match 5 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 24.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 27.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Manchester United 6
- Benjamin Sesko Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Kobbie Mainoo Injury Expected back in about a week
- Luke Shaw Injury Expected return: A few days
- Manuel Ugarte Injury Expected back early April 2027
- Marcus Rashford Injury Doubtful
- Patrick Dorgu Injury Expected back late October 2026
Roma 3
- Lorenzo Pellegrini Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Manu Koné Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Mile Svilar Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.