Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence UEFA Europa League Insight date · 2026-10-27 2026-11-05 ~ 2026-11-05

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Hoffenheim lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Crystal Palace -0.69, Hoffenheim +0.85.
  • Points per game over the last five: Crystal Palace 0.80, Hoffenheim 1.80.
  • Attack: Crystal Palace xG per match 1.39, 11.8 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Hoffenheim xG per match 2.19, 18.8 shots, 3.6 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Crystal Palace 2.09, Hoffenheim 1.34; shots on target faced 9.6 vs 7.4, big chances faced 3.4 vs 2.6.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

No clear edge in the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Points per game 1.80 vs 0.80 · Edge 55.6%
Goals per match 2.00 vs 1.00 · Edge 50.0%
Shots on target per match 12.2 vs 6.6 · Edge 45.9%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Crystal Palace Metric Hoffenheim
Results
0.80 Points per game 1.80
1.00 Goals per match 2.00
2.20 Goals conceded per match 1.60
0.95 Expected points per game 1.87
Attack
1.39 xG per match 2.19
11.8 Shots per match 18.8
6.6 Shots on target per match 12.2
2.2 Big chances created per match 3.6
46.8% Possession 53.4%
6.6 Deep completions per match 13.8
Defence
2.09 xGA per match 1.34
15.2 Shots faced per match 12.6
9.6 Shots on target faced per match 7.4
3.4 Big chances faced per match 2.6
6.4 Deep completions allowed per match 5.0
Running & pressing
112.2 km Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 0 matches with data —
109 Sprints per match 5 / 0 matches with data —
18.0 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 25.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Crystal Palace 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-27

  • Chadi Riad Injury Expected back late June 2027
  • Dean Henderson Injury Doubtful
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen Injury Doubtful
  • Quinten Timber Injury Doubtful
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu Injury Expected back late November 2026

Hoffenheim 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-27

  • Albian Hajdari Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Nathan De Cat Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Patrick Wimmer Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Tim Lemperle Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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