Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Athletic Club have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Real Sociedad have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Athletic Club +1.01, Real Sociedad -0.55.
- Points per game over the last five: Athletic Club 1.80, Real Sociedad 2.40, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Athletic Club xG per match 2.02, 13.8 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Real Sociedad xG per match 1.54, 15.2 shots, 2.0 big chances created. Real Sociedad have the better conversion (2.80 vs 1.20).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Athletic Club 1.01, Real Sociedad 2.10; shots on target faced 3.8 vs 11.0, big chances faced 2.2 vs 3.4.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
0.20
vs 2.20
· Edge 90.9%
Shots on target faced per match
3.8
vs 11.0
· Edge 65.9%
xGA per match
1.01
vs 2.10
· Edge 51.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals per match
2.80
vs 1.20
· Edge 57.1%
Shots on target per match
10.4
vs 5.5
· Edge 47.1%
Points per game
2.40
vs 1.80
· Edge 25.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Athletic Club
|
Metric |
Real Sociedad
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.80 | Points per game | 2.40 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 2.80 |
| 0.20 | Goals conceded per match | 2.20 |
| 2.14 | Expected points per game | 1.01 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.02 | xG per match | 1.54 |
| 13.8 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 15.2 |
| 5.5 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 10.4 |
| 2.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 53.5% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 47.4% |
| 5.2 | Deep completions per match | 8.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.01 | xGA per match | 2.10 |
| 10.8 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 18.6 |
| 3.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 11.0 |
| 2.2 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.4 |
| 6.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 25.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 26.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Athletic Club 4
- Álvaro Djaló Injury Back in training
- Gorka Guruzeta Injury Out for the season
- Oihan Sancet Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Unai Egiluz Injury Expected back mid January 2027
Real Sociedad 4
- Álvaro Odriozola Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Jon Aramburu Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Luken Beitia Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Yangel Herrera Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.