What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Valencia have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Elche have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Elche -1.26, Valencia -0.09.
- Points per game over the last five: Elche 1.20, Valencia 1.00, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Elche xG per match 0.81, 9.0 shots, 0.5 big chances created; Valencia xG per match 1.29, 12.2 shots, 2.2 big chances created. Elche have the better conversion (1.20 vs 1.00).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Elche 2.08, Valencia 1.38; shots on target faced 7.8 vs 9.2, big chances faced 3.2 vs 1.2.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
1.20
vs 1.00
· Edge 16.7%
Goals per match
1.20
vs 1.00
· Edge 16.7%
Goals conceded per match
1.00
vs 1.20
· Edge 16.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
2.2
vs 0.5
· Edge 77.3%
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 3.2
· Edge 63.1%
xG per match
1.29
vs 0.81
· Edge 36.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 0.70 | Expected points per game | 1.25 |
| Attack | ||
| 0.81 | xG per match | 1.29 |
| 9.0 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.2 |
| 4.0 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.0 |
| 0.5 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.2 |
| 49.5% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 49.6% |
| 5.6 | Deep completions per match | 5.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.08 | xGA per match | 1.38 |
| 16.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 15.8 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 9.2 |
| 3.2 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 1.2 |
| 10.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 7.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 18.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 16.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Elche 2
- Marc Aguado Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Yago Santiago Injury Expected return: Unknown
Valencia 6
- Diego López Injury Expected back mid February 2027
- Dimitri Foulquier Injury Back in training
- José Copete Injury Back in training
- Justin De Haas Injury Doubtful
- Sergi Canós Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Umar Sadiq Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.