Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Bayer Leverkusen lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hoffenheim +0.32, Bayer Leverkusen +1.31.
- Points per game over the last five: Hoffenheim 1.20, Bayer Leverkusen 2.60.
- Attack: Hoffenheim xG per match 1.98, 18.6 shots, 3.6 big chances created; Bayer Leverkusen xG per match 2.39, 19.4 shots, 3.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hoffenheim 1.66, Bayer Leverkusen 1.08; shots on target faced 8.6 vs 5.8, big chances faced 3.2 vs 1.6.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots on target per match
12.6
vs 11.6
· Edge 7.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
2.60
vs 1.20
· Edge 53.8%
Big chances faced per match
1.6
vs 3.2
· Edge 50.0%
Goals conceded per match
1.20
vs 2.20
· Edge 45.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 2.60 |
| 1.80 | Goals per match | 2.80 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 1.58 | Expected points per game | 2.16 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.98 | xG per match | 2.39 |
| 18.6 | Shots per match | 19.4 |
| 12.6 | Shots on target per match | 11.6 |
| 3.6 | Big chances created per match | 3.8 |
| 57.0% | Possession | 56.0% |
| 14.8 | Deep completions per match | 12.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.66 | xGA per match | 1.08 |
| 13.0 | Shots faced per match | 11.8 |
| 8.6 | Shots on target faced per match | 5.8 |
| 3.2 | Big chances faced per match | 1.6 |
| 3.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 26.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 18.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Hoffenheim 3
- Albian Hajdari Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Nathan De Cat Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Patrick Wimmer Injury Expected back mid November 2026
Bayer Leverkusen 6
- Christian Kofane Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Eliesse Ben Seghir Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Guéla Doué Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Kennet Eichhorn Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Martin Terrier Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Montrell Culbreath Injury Expected back late October 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.