Augsburg vs Freiburg: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-31 ~ 2026-10-31

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Freiburg lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Augsburg -1.31, Freiburg +0.75.
  • Points per game over the last five: Augsburg 1.00, Freiburg 2.00.
  • Attack: Augsburg xG per match 1.74, 16.5 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Freiburg xG per match 1.82, 14.0 shots, 3.8 big chances created. Augsburg have the better conversion (2.60 vs 2.20).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Augsburg 3.06, Freiburg 1.06; shots on target faced 16.5 vs 5.8, big chances faced 4.2 vs 1.0.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Shots on target per match 11.5 vs 9.2 · Edge 19.6%
Goals per match 2.60 vs 2.20 · Edge 15.4%
Shots per match 16.5 vs 14.0 · Edge 15.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances faced per match 1.0 vs 4.2 · Edge 76.5%
xGA per match 1.06 vs 3.06 · Edge 65.3%
Shots on target faced per match 5.8 vs 16.5 · Edge 65.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Augsburg Metric Freiburg
Results
1.00 Points per game 2.00
2.60 Goals per match 2.20
2.40 Goals conceded per match 1.00
0.65 Expected points per game 1.93
Attack
1.74 xG per match 1.82
16.5 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 14.0
11.5 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 9.2
2.2 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 3.8
41.8% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 51.0%
6.2 Deep completions per match 5.8
Defence
3.06 xGA per match 1.06
25.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 9.0
16.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 5.8
4.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 1.0
15.8 Deep completions allowed per match 7.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
17.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 20.0

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Augsburg 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Alexis Claude-Maurice Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Faik Sakar Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Klaus Sima Suso Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Noahkai Banks Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Steve Mounié Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Tim Breithaupt Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Freiburg 1

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Florent Muslija Injury Expected back late December 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.