Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-31 ~ 2026-10-31

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Hoffenheim have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Werder Bremen have taken more points recently.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Werder Bremen -0.01, Hoffenheim +0.32.
  • Points per game over the last five: Werder Bremen 1.80, Hoffenheim 1.20, opposite to the underlying signal.
  • Attack: Werder Bremen xG per match 1.57, 13.8 shots, 2.5 big chances created; Hoffenheim xG per match 1.98, 18.6 shots, 3.6 big chances created. Werder Bremen have the better conversion (2.20 vs 1.80).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Werder Bremen 1.58, Hoffenheim 1.66; shots on target faced 10.5 vs 8.6, big chances faced 2.5 vs 3.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Werder Bremen

Points per game 1.80 vs 1.20 · Edge 33.3%
Goals conceded per match 1.60 vs 2.20 · Edge 27.3%
Big chances faced per match 2.5 vs 3.2 · Edge 21.9%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Hoffenheim

Big chances created per match 3.6 vs 2.5 · Edge 30.6%
Shots per match 18.6 vs 13.8 · Edge 26.1%
Shots on target per match 12.6 vs 9.8 · Edge 22.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Werder Bremen Metric Hoffenheim
Results
1.80 Points per game 1.20
2.20 Goals per match 1.80
1.60 Goals conceded per match 2.20
1.36 Expected points per game 1.58
Attack
1.57 xG per match 1.98
13.8 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 18.6
9.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 12.6
2.5 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 3.6
42.8% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 57.0%
9.4 Deep completions per match 14.8
Defence
1.58 xGA per match 1.66
16.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.0
10.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 8.6
2.5 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 3.2
10.0 Deep completions allowed per match 3.4
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
19.0 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 26.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Werder Bremen 8

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Felix Agu Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Jens Stage Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Justin Njinmah Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Keke Topp Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Moussa N'Diaye Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Salim Musah Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Senne Lynen Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Skelly Alvero Injury Expected back late October 2026

Hoffenheim 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Albian Hajdari Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Nathan De Cat Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Patrick Wimmer Injury Expected back mid November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.